Timeform's analysis suggests that Grey Dawning, following his victory in the Grade 2 Hampton Novices' Chase at Warwick, is undervalued as a contender for the Brown Advisory Novices' Chase at the Cheltenham Festival. The horse's odds were shortened from 20/1 to 10/1 after this performance, which Timeform believes is the best by a novice chaser in Britain this season.
Despite the strong competition, Grey Dawning demonstrated superior abilities, particularly in the final stages of the race. Timeform's report highlights his smooth travel, fluent jumping, and strong finish, suggesting that he should have been a more favored bet for the Brown Advisory.
Grey Dawning's performance at Warwick earned him a Timeform rating of 158. This rating is surpassed only by Il Est Francais (160P) and Marine Nationale (159p) among novice chasers this season. The current market leaders for the Brown Advisory are Grangeclare West (155p) and Fact To File (157p) from the Willie Mullins stable. Stay Away Fay (150p), trained by Paul Nicholls, is the highest-rated British contender. Despite being third to Stay Away Fay at Exeter, Grey Dawning has shown considerable improvement, making him a notable contender for Cheltenham.